Tropical system could form in Gulf of Mexico later this week

Current Status. The National Hurricane Center (NHC) estimates that the center of Calvin is at approximately 16.18°N, 96.18°W, about 45 mi (70 km) NNE of Puerto Angel Mexico. The threat of flash flooding and mudslides is likely to persist in southern Mexico even after the system has dissipated. Tropical Storm Arlene formed in the Central Atlantic on April 20 and remained far out at sea, but it was only the second recorded instance of a tropical storm forming in April.

"There will be winds gusting to around 50 miles per hour Monday night as landfall occurs, along with a coastal storm surge of a foot or two", said Strait.

Mexico's National Water Commission reported that the storm touched land in the early evening just east of the town of Ayutla, in Oaxaca state.

The U.S. won't see any direct impacts from this storm.

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Regardless of the system's strength, heavy rain is the main threat to Mexico and southern Guatemala. Whatever develops in this area will generally drift to the northwest and could bring more heavy rains into southern Texas by early next week.

Additional weakening is forecast, and Calvin is expected to dissipate over the mountainous terrain of southern Mexico later today, June 13.

These rainfall totals could lead to life-threatening flash floods and mudslides in some areas into midweek. More than 5 inches had fallen in the city of Veracruz as of late Monday afternoon.

Check back with us at weather.com for updates on this system.

(Copyright © 2015. All Rights Reserved.)
 
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